Integrated Model for Water, Food, Energy and Human Development

9 pages•Published: September 20, 2018

Korinus Nixon Waimbo, Dragan Savic and Fayyaz Ali Memon

Abstract

Water, energy and food are basic needs crucial to human survival but also pervade many aspects of human development. Systemically, they are vastly interdependent. A system dynamics model comprises five modules, namely water, food, energy, demographic, and human development, is being constructed. The aim is to evaluate the dynamics behaviour of water, energy and food systems and their linkages to human development at national scale. The model was simulated on annual basis from the year 1990 to 2015. It was then tested against national historical data of Indonesia. Analysis of error using mean-square error, root mean square percent error, and Theil inequality statistics were performed to test model behaviour. Preliminary results show that most of the variables such as total population, income per capita, human development index, and sectoral water demands have root mean square percent error below 10% that indicate the model produces similar behaviour pattern to the actual system. As part of the future work, once the model is fully constructed, it will be applied to assess the impact of a range of policy scenarios and implications on the water, energy and food sectors and on human development in Indonesia.

Keyphrases: human development index, system dynamics modelling, water food energy system

In: Goffredo La Loggia, Gabriele Freni, Valeria Puleo and Mauro De Marchis (editors). HIC 2018. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, vol 3, pages 2241-2249.

Links:	https://easychair.org/publications/paper/bVRg
	https://doi.org/10.29007/46pc

BibTeX entry

@inproceedings{HIC2018:Integrated_Model_Water_Food,
  author    = {Korinus Nixon Waimbo and Dragan Savic and Fayyaz Ali Memon},
  title     = {Integrated Model for Water, Food, Energy and Human Development},
  booktitle = {HIC 2018. 13th International Conference on Hydroinformatics},
  editor    = {Goffredo La Loggia and Gabriele Freni and Valeria Puleo and Mauro De Marchis},
  series    = {EPiC Series in Engineering},
  volume    = {3},
  publisher = {EasyChair},
  bibsource = {EasyChair, https://easychair.org},
  issn      = {2516-2330},
  url       = {/publications/paper/bVRg},
  doi       = {10.29007/46pc},
  pages     = {2241-2249},
  year      = {2018}}

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